Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.001954 1.132727 1.275197 1.442108 1.632514 1.843210 2.094383
2026-02-08 0.776989 0.949578 1.153699 1.413660 1.737006 2.127339 2.636357
2026-02-15 0.666318 0.858996 1.100128 1.425573 1.855671 2.407827 3.175563
2026-02-22 0.582442 0.783764 1.047453 1.420494 1.938514 2.638045 3.663771
2026-03-01 0.514075 0.717477 0.994446 1.402434 1.993711 2.827997 4.109438
2026-03-08 0.450130 0.648477 0.927864 1.354237 1.995825 2.936923 4.443339
2026-03-15 0.409365 0.607244 0.894825 1.348350 2.055121 3.130179 4.919173
2026-03-22 0.392113 0.598211 0.906882 1.409358 2.219479 3.496125 5.702935
2026-03-29 0.361772 0.565870 0.879850 1.405683 2.279723 3.701740 6.245995
2026-04-05 0.340665 0.545700 0.869310 1.426232 2.379553 3.979121 6.938394
2026-04-12 0.313971 0.513945 0.837015 1.407014 2.409347 4.139518 7.440831
2026-04-19 0.289283 0.483244 0.803544 1.382061 2.425600 4.275992 7.912092
2026-04-26 0.263002 0.449641 0.765671 1.352035 2.441170 4.433319 8.483799
2026-05-03 0.239528 0.419127 0.730979 1.325482 2.462914 4.609971 9.129800
2026-05-10 0.224576 0.402056 0.717972 1.336605 2.555551 4.929928 10.105467
2026-05-17 0.209017 0.382283 0.697947 1.331863 2.616044 5.192933 10.998851
2026-05-24 0.193532 0.361131 0.673211 1.315001 2.649688 5.404534 11.810266
2026-05-31 0.176227 0.334919 0.636378 1.269997 2.619892 5.479642 12.326592
2026-06-07 0.165225 0.319926 0.619858 1.264500 2.672339 5.735892 13.295845
2026-06-14 0.161920 0.319828 0.632713 1.321466 2.866213 6.326222 15.148301
2026-06-21 0.152638 0.306793 0.618129 1.318034 2.925090 6.617880 16.311042
2026-06-28 0.146288 0.299230 0.614119 1.337220 3.037522 7.047462 17.889857
2026-07-05 0.137078 0.284864 0.594474 1.319278 3.060837 7.266512 18.950705